2012 Fantasy Football Mid Year Review
I wrote an article before the season started and advised not to chase last year’s high scorers. Well, for those who read it and kept to that advice you are a happy owner. Calvin Johnson, Jimmy Graham, LeSean McCoy, Cam Newton, Mathew Stafford; are all examples of first round picks (based on last year’s performance) that are not winning you games.
QB’s: Here is where the model of a “must have” first round QB has held up. Brees, Brady and Rodgers were a top 5 pick. Rodgers stands at #1, Brady at #2 and Brees at #4. Who is number 3? A highly unlikely Josh Freeman sits at the #3 spot mid way through the 2012 Season. I touted to wait on any position but Running Back in the first round. Fantasy owners who waited till mid round picks for a QB are doing very nicely right now. The #5 QB is Peyton Manning (who was going on average in the 7th round), #6 is Robert Griffin III (who many picked as their second QB), and #6 is Ben Roethislberger (also a second QB pick – some leagues he wasnt even drafted).
Serious Fantasy Players, take note, a QB is not a necessary 1st or 2nd round pick. Cam Newton and Mathew Stafford went in the second round, and many owners are not even starting Newton. Think of the top position talent that you may have passed up in the 2nd round.
Rest of the Year QB Candidates to win your league: Carson Palmer, Brandon Weedon, Josh Freeman, Andrew Luck and Andy Dalton (if your in need of help and these guys are on your roster or available strondly consider them for the second half)
RB’s: There are some surprises here and something to be learned. My big take away is that “knee surgery” procedures must have really come a long way. Adrian Peterson, Jamaal Charles have come back strong, from what would have been career ending injuries in the recent past. Peterson is more consistent, but both are back in elite form. Chris Johnson started out slow, but this seems to be his pattern the last few seaons. Anyone who traded for Johnson on the cheap (he was being traded for defenses in some leagues!) may now win their league with him on the roster. Doug Martin was taken in the mid-rounds and is now in the top 3. He could very well be off to a top 5 finish amond all RB’s. Arian Foster is the beast of fantasy and look for him to close out at #1 or #2. LeSean McCoy, Darren McFadden, and Marshawn Lynch will not end the season with first round draft expectaions. Trent Richardson and Ahmad Bradshaw were both high mid picks that are going to be very profitable. Ray Rice is a very notable first rounder that has been spotty, he has been known for more consistency, but the rest of the year looks very favorable.
WR’s: I reported that the pool looked deep before the fantasy drafts and it has been. If you missed out on Calvin Johnson in the first round, your probably thanking your lucky fantasy stars. He has decent yards but a terrible year for touchdowns. His woes are tied directly to Mathew Stafford and the Madden Curse! I never thought I’d ever say that…before the season started I was high on Calvin, and shrugged off the Madden Curse to folk lore, but can anyone argue the fact that every player who has been featured has burned out the following year! Ask Peyton Hillis, Terrel Owens, McNabb to name a few. Seriously, Percy Harvin, Randall Cobb, Reggie Wayne are leading at the mid-point and all were had with mid round picks. For the rest of the year, I do expect Calvin, Wes Welker, Victor Cruz, and Larry Fitzgerald to finish with stronger second half numbers.
TE’s: Rob Gronkowski has followed suit with his 2011 performance, but Graham, Antonio Gates, and Vernon Davis, Jermichael Finley…not so much. The tight end position seems to be the most inconsistent of all the positions this year. The old guys are doing the best. Jason Witten, Heath Miller and Tony Gonzales have all be been strong players. The rest are all spotty. Kyle Rudolph would have been one to tout but he has gone cold, Brandon Myers the same. There is not much you can do right now. If you have your tight end that you drafted you are going to have to stick with him. There is not much on the waiver wire and there isn’t any one who is a Mr. Reliable.
Good Luck to you and your team. Please, share your fantasy thoughts with us!