The Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans will meet during Week 13 of the 2012-13 NFL season on December 2, 2012. The game will be played at LP Field in Nashville, Tennessee. These are some picks against the spread for that contest.
The Texans have a 10-1 record. The Titans have a 4-7 record. The Texans won the first 2012 meeting, 38-14. Since the Texans debuted in 2002, they’ve never swept a regular-season series against the Titans. 32-year-old Dowell Loggains makes his debut as the Titans’ offensive coordinator. He replaces Chris Palmer, who was fired on November 26.
The early spread is Texans (-6.5). The over-under total is 47. As of December 1, all odds are from Yahoo! Sports. Click the “Key Injuries” for injury reports from official team websites.
Week 12 Results
Tennessee Titans 19 at Jacksonville Jaguars 24
Houston Texans 34 at Detroit Lions 31
Key Injuries: Tennessee Titans (As of December 1)
LB Colin McCarthy (Out), DE Derrick Morgan,
Key Injuries: Houston Texans (As of December 1)
LB Brooks Reed (Out), LB Bradie James (Out), OL Antoine Caldwell (Out), CB Jonathan Joseph (Out), DB Alan Ball
Keys To The Game
Expect the Unexpected: Titans’ Offensive Coordinator Dowell Loggains
Titans’ Run-Defense vs. Arian Foster and Ben Tate
Texans’ Run-Defense vs. Chris Johnson
Jason McCourty vs. Andre Johnson
Owen Daniels in the Red Zone
J.J. Watt vs. Deuce Lutui or David Stewart
Jake Locker: Mobility
The Texans are coming off two straight overtime wins. The latest win came against the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day. Because of the midweek game, the Texans have had three extra days to prepare and rest. In Week 4, the Texans beat the Titans 38-14. Matt Hasselbeck threw two interceptions that were returned for touchdowns.
Dowell Loggains makes his debut as the Titans’ offensive coordinator. Loggains has been with the organization since 2006. In 2010, Loggains was almost given play-calling duties because of Mike Heimerdinger’s cancer scare. Heimerdinger eventually returned to the booth.
What can Texans defensive coordinator Wade Phillips expect? Loggains was a disciple of Heimerdinger. Therefore, the offense would probably go from Palmer’s option-route offense to more of what it was before 2012. That’s a much-more simplified offense for the quarterback and receivers.
There are two ways of looking at this. Will the Titans’ offense have enough time to adjust to Loggains’ philosophies? Can the Texans’ defense adjust on the fly? Although this is Loggains first game as a play-caller, the players should have an idea of what to expect from him. The lack of knowledge on Loggains should work against the Texans’ defense.
The Titans have only been consistent in two areas. They’ve been consistent at inconsistency. They’ve also been consistent with getting blown out by superior teams. The New England Patriots (Week 1), Texans (Week 4), Minnesota Vikings (Week 5), and Chicago Bears (Week 9) are either division leaders or they were playing very well when they played the Titans. Each team enjoyed victories of 20 points or more.
Both defenses have significant injuries. The Texans can only assume that Loggains will have some similarities to Heimerdinger. The Texans’ defense has played poorly these past few weeks. The Titans’ defense has struggled against top-tier teams.
Those reasons are why there’s a good chance for a shootout. Jerry Gray’s defense has played better in the past four games. However, how much of that was because of the competition? I’m thinking more than some fans would like to admit.
Houston Texans (-6.5) at Tennessee Titans: The Pick
Against The Spread: Houston Texans (-6.5)
Straight: Houston Texans 41, Tennessee Titans 27
Joshua Huffman graduated from Middle Tennessee State University as a marketing major in 2009. He’s been a Middle Tennessee resident from 1986-88 and 2001-present. He lived in the Upper Peninsula and Northern Wisconsin from 1988-01 and for approximately eight months in 2009-10 as he completed a 20-game volunteer position with the USHL’s Green Bay Gamblers. His favorite sports organizations include the Green Bay Packers, Chicago Cubs, Nashville Predators and Tennessee Titans. He can be found on Twitter HERE.
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