In 2012, 33 senate races will be contested. Many will probably be won easily. Indiana was thought to be one of those, until the recent primary. Now the Senate race in Indiana, which pits Democrat Joe Donnelly vs. Republican Richard Mourdock, looks much closer.
In elections for president, Indiana has been a swing state. Obama won the state in 2008 (50-49), but Bush won easily in 2004 (60-40) and 2000 (57-41). Indiana does not appear to have been polled much on the presidential race
Statewide, Indiana’s two senators are both Republicans: Dick Lugar and Dan Coats. Six of Indiana’s nine representatives are Republicans, as is its governor Mitch Daniels
The Indiana Senate race
Six months or a year ago, Indiana wasn’t on the potential pickup list for Democrats. Dick Lugar was expected to cruise to a seventh term as Indiana’s senator. But before the general election comes the primary, and Lugar lost to Mourdock. Now, it looks much closer.
Joe Donnelly: The Democratic candidate for Senate from Indiana:
Joe Donnelly is currently a member of congress. He opposes a woman’s right to choose. He voted to prohibit job discrimination based on sexual orientation, but voted against enforcing anti-gay hate crimes, and against allowing gays to serve in the military. On energy and environmental issues, Donnelly has a mixed record, supporting both increased drilling and alternative energy funding. On the Issues rates him as right of center on social issues and left of center on economic ones.
Richard Mourdock: The Republican candidate for Senate from Indiana:
Richard Mourdock is the treasurer of Indiana. He wants to amend the constitution to require a balanced budget. He believes the takeover of Chrysler was illegal. He opposes help for alternative fuels. He supports a single income tax rate for all. OnTheIssues rates him as strongly conservative on both social and economic isssues.
The Indiana senate race has been relatively little polled. One poll by Howey/DePauw showed it tied at 35.
- May 20 – a poll by Global Strategy Group had it tied at 40.
- May 25 – a Rasmussen poll had it tied at 42
- Aug 3 – a Rasmussen poll has Mourdock up by 2, 42-40
- Aug 10 – a poll by Global Strategy Group has Donnelly up by 1, 41-40
- Aug 16 – two polls, one by Democratic pollster Garin Hart Yang, and one by Republican pollster Market Research Institute, both have Donnelly up by 2. The former 45-43, the latter 43-41.
- Sep 17 – Global Strategy Group has Donnelly up by 3
- Sep 22 – YouGov has Mourdock by 3
- Sep 27 – Howey Politics has Donnelly up by 2
- Oct 10 – McLaughlin has Mourdock by 3
- Oct 16 – Rasmussen has Mourdock by 5
- Oct 17 – YouGov has Mourdock up by 4
- Oct 23 – Global Strategy Group has Donnelly by 2
- Oct 25 – Pharos Research has it tied
- Oct 27 – Anzalone-Liszt has Donnelly by 7; McLaughlin has it tied
- Oct 30 – Pharos Research has Donnelly by 1
- Oct 31 – Global Strategy Group has Donnelly by 7
- Nov 1 – Clarity Campaigns has Donnelly by 7, McLaughlin has Mourdock by 1
- Nov 3 – Bellwether has Donnelly by 11; McLaughlin has Mourdock by 2; Rasmussen has Donnelly by 3
- Nov 5 – YouGov has Donnelly by 2; Howey Politics has Donnelly up by 11
- July 13 – In the quarter, Mourdock raised $1.8 million and has $880,000 cash on hand. Donnelly has $1.3 million cash on hand after raising $900K
- Oct. 15 – in the quarter Donnelly raised $1.55 million and has $936,000 COH
Election results: http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
Indiana congreesmembers: http://www.house.gov/representatives/