President Obama can still speak softly, but carry a big stick while the White House and the State Department continue to negotiate for continued peace in Asia and the Middle East. Factor in the threat of North Korea deploying nuclear weapons capable of hitting targets in the U.S., a nuclear weapons breach between Iran and Israel, and you can create a prelude to another global war.
North Korea is an ally of China. China is an ally of Russia. Israel is not an ally of Iran. The U.S. is an ally of South Korea, Japan and Israel. This axis of communism contrasted with U.S. global power can be very combustible in the near future.
Global war under Obama’s watch? Fiction, then the facts.
FICTION: Presently, North Korea could use chemical weapons against South Korea. The U.S would then have to assist South Korea in fighting this most serious breach of the Korean truce. The Sea of Japan would be needed to allow the U.S Navy to fight this war at sea, while ground troops fight on land. China would be obligated to assist North Korea, its ally. Russia may join in. A global conflict between these nations would force the U.N. to act unilaterally and decisively if nuclear weapons will be used.
FACTS: While the above Asian conflict was only hypothetical, the threat of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons to use on Israel is real, and pending. The Associated Press(AP)reported in FoxNews.com (Jan. 20, 2013) that, “Benjamin Netanyahu has welcomed the international pressure on Iran, but he has also repeatedly indicated Israeli might attack Iran, alone of necessary, if he concludes that diplomacy has failed. Netanyahu has warned that 2013 will be a critical year in determining whether Iran reaches (nuclear) weapons capability or not.”
FACTS: Dmitri Trenin wrote in Bloomberg (Jun 7, 2012) that, “Russians retort that U.S. policy toward Syria is all about changing the regime in Damascus, because it’s allied with Tehran, and that the U.S. never tried to make (United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan) peace initiative work. The atrocities at Houla merely raised the temperature of that dispute. Russia will block any UN Security Council resolution that authorizes the use of force in Syria.”
Nations have always fought over money.
Many speculators have a theory that China would have less of an incentive to go to war against the U.S. because of our huge trade relations and global debts. Kenneth Rapoza wrote in Forbes (1/23/2013) that, “Around 7.5 percent (of U.S. debt of $16 trillion) is held by China, the biggest foreign holder of U.S. debt. If the economy was crashing, and China got terrified and wanted their money back, unless the U.S. defaulted, it would hand it over and there would be nothing China would get in return.”
We must examine U.S trade relations in regards to imports and exports in Asia. Furthermore, Rapoza writes that, “China wants the U.S. economy to prosper because that means China will be able to continue exporting here. Exports to the U.S. are up.”
WW3 will be No Pearl Harbor, or Cuban Missile Crisis, but perhaps much Worse.
Elaine Kurttenbach wrote in Boston Business Markets (Jan. 23, 2013) that, “Japan’s trade deficit rose to a record $78.3 billion in 2012 as fuel imports surged and a bitter territorial dispute with China hammered its exports.” One more major tsunami in the very near future could economically bring Japan to its knees.
Therefore, it is not unfathomable for me to suggest that more global wars are imminent if:
- · Trade wars between Asian countries and the U.S. continues to escalate significantly in 2013.
- · Iran or Israel attacks each other in a major military conflict in 2013, and nuclear weapons are used.
- · Russia officially reinstates a new Cold War with the U.S. in 2013, or Russia declares war on the U.S. for intervening militarily in Syria. China supports Russia in this effort.
- · More U.S embassies in Africa are attacked by al Qaeda in 2013, and another al Qaeda major attack takes place on U.S. soil under President Obama’s watch.
- · Major disputes cannot be resolved over the Sea of Japan in 2013 between China and Japan.
- · More global economies continue to collapse this year, and end up worse than in Greece.
The U.S recovered from the Revolutionary War, Civil War, WW1 & II, Vietnam War, wars in Iraq (2010) and Afghanistan (2014 pending), but do we have what it takes to recover from a theoretical (nuclear weapons global war)? President Obama has said again and again in his campaign speeches that, “Yes, we can.”