In 2012, 33 senate races will be contested. Some look like landslides, some look closer. Among the tightest is the Senate race in Nevada, which pits Democrat Shelley Berkley vs. Republican Dean Heller.
In elections for President, Nevada has been a swing state. Obama won the state in 2008 (55 – 43) but Bush won in 2004 (50-48) and 2000 (50-46). Recent polling shows Obama winning by a little less than in 2008.
Statewide, one of Nevada’s senators is a Republican (Dean Heller, who is running for re-election) and one is a Democrat (Harry Reid). Its governor (Brian Sandoval) is a Republican. Two of its three representatives in the House are Republicans.
The Nevada Senate race
Dean Heller was appointed to his seat in the senate by Gov. Sandoval after John Ensign resigned. Shelley Berkeley is currently one of Nevada’s members of congress. Both are big favorites in their respective primaries.
Shelly Berkley: The Democratic candidate for Senate from Nevada:
Shelley Berkley is currently a member of congress. She supports a woman’s right to choose. Berkley supported TARP and the auto bailout. She is a strong proponent of equal rights for GLBT people, and got a 100 rating from Human Rights Campaign. She is for drug reform and legalized medical marijuana. Shelley Berkeley is a strong supporter of public education and got a 100 rating from the National Educational Alliance. She is also a supporter of the environment and a proponent of alternate energy, and got a 65 rating from League of Conservation Voters. Berkley also got a 100 rating from the American Public Health Association and a 100 rating from the AFL-CIO. On the Issues rates her a liberal on both social and economic issues.
Dean Heller: The Republican candidates for Senate from Nevada:
Dean Heller is running for re-election. Prior to being appointed to the Senate, he was a member of the House of Representatives. Heller opposes a woman’s right to choose, he voted against TARP and the auto bailout, he voted against prohibiting job discrimination based on sexual orientation. Heller has opposed funding for alternative energy. He voted to end birthright citizenship and opposed increasing the minimum wage. Heller also opposed withdrawing troops from Afghanistan and Iraq. On the Issues rates him as moderate-conservative on both social and economic issues.
Most recent polls of the Nevada senate race show Heller with a small lead.
- June 1: Marist has Heller up 46-44.
- July 19: Magellan has Heller up by 3
- July 28: Rasmussen has Heller up by 9
- Aug 23: SurveyUSA has Heller up 5
- Aug 28: PPP has Heller up by 2
- Sep 20: Rasmussen has Heller up by 1
- Sep 21: YouGov has Heller by 7
- Sep 25: League of Conservation Voters has Berkley up by 4; Public Opinion Strategies has Heller by 5
- Sep 28: NBC/Marist has Heller up by 6 among likely voters and by 4 among registered voters
- Oct 2 – We Ask American has it tied at 45
- Oct 10 – Rasmussen has Heller ahead by 3
- Oct 11 – PPP has Berkley up by 2, Suffolk has Heller up by 3
- Oct 15 – Melman Group has Berkley up by 3
- Oct 17 – YouGov has Heller up by 6
- Oct 19 – Rasmussen has Heller up by 7, SurveyUSA has him up by 6
- Oct 25 – PPP has it tied
- Oct 26 – NBC/Marist has Heller by 3 among likely voters and a tie among registered voters. Rasmussen has Heller by 5
- Oct 31 – Grove Insight has Heller up by 1; SurveyUSA has Heller by 6
- Nov 5 – YouGov has Heller by 9 and PPP by 2
Both Berkley and Heller have raised about $5.5 million.
- July 12 For the quarter, Berkley raised $1.5 million and has $4 million cash on hand; Heller raised $1.2 million and has $4.5 million cash on hand
- Oct 16 For the quarter, Berkley raised $1.6 million and has $925,000 COH. Heller raised $1.9 million and has $1.9 million COH
Election results: http://useleckionatlas.org/RESULTS/
Nevada congreesmembers: http://www.house.gov/representatives/
On the issues: Heller: http://www.ontheissues.org/senate/Richard_Heller.htm